Polymarket Trader

jo2bk9kux06x

0x751a98c0cd4cfa2266f3af07738099ffc04e746d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.19
Realized PnL: $30.95
Win rate: 52.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $141.92
Potential payout: $191.78
Potential profit: $49.86
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $52.27
Potential payout: $64.93
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.82

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.85

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$5.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$37.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$57.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 77% 64.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 45% 42.93 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 73% 191.78 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 17% 74.62 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 67% 74.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 72.35 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 74% 86.42 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 81% 86.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 99% 36.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 57% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 41.4% 96.55 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 79% 63.39 shares