No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $83
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $17
Polymarket Trader
MMM22223
0x752cbbd0097f1386522ab1376802a3ff4cd95cd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $324.94
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $94.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $68.99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.99
- User PnL
- -$39.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$29.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$22.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$16.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$12.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$6.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $220.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 50% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 57% 71.56 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 66% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 90% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 42% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 57% 1.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 22.7% 27.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 36% 16.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 65% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown 7% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 82% 4.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown 19% 5.65 shares