No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Polymarket Trader
LioneliosMessi
0x752fbdc4d667204c45cb5a52395467aecf11ff9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.85K
- Realized PnL
- $1.43K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $192.26
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $169.65
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $317.43
- Potential payout
- $317.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $217.43
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $245.49
- Potential payout
- $245.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $45.49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $215.05
- Potential payout
- $215.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.86
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.97
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.24
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.44
No position
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
NAVI position
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. Vitality
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124.85
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 75% 249.33 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 84% 2,261.9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74.7% 4,017.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 96% 1,035.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 21% 422.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 67.5% 1,411.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 87.2% 1,126.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 86.9% 1,049.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 88.4% 78.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 84.1% 1,161.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 87% 1,127.92 shares