No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.5K
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $365.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $91.05
Polymarket Trader
ksenon
0x7535119f260bd50c801144300aeacf11ef2fe660
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.39K
- Realized PnL
- $5.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$119.65
Yes position
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$61.77
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $296.41
- Potential payout
- $304.17
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.6
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $210.54
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.34
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $183
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.32
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $884.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $701.91
Yes position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $353.39
No position
Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.91
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.67
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.93
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.32
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $60.22
No position
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.22
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.37
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $34.1
No position
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.66
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.02
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $24.55
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.89
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 109 billion views by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 91% 554.66 shares
- James Comey in jail by June 30?No 99.8% 30 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 99.8% 50 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99.9% 45.81 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No 99.9% 61.3 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 99.9% 350 shares
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.8% 48.28 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.8% 21.64 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 91% 4,088.23 shares
- Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?No 99.8% 274.41 shares
- Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?No 99.8% 164.32 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?No 99.8% 150 shares