Polymarket Trader

lenny4878

0x753c9d75503e744a3ea0a90f3c1df6259a4ce3ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.4K
Realized PnL: $743.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $20.57K
Potential payout: $21.94K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $473.4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $598.57
Potential payout: $700.08
Potential profit: $101.51
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $88.57

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $245.93
Potential payout: $592.59
Potential profit: $346.67
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$54.07

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $515.58
Potential payout: $526.64
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $499.74
Potential payout: $516.53
Potential profit: $16.79
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $302.89
Potential payout: $342.24
Potential profit: $39.36
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $41.85
Potential payout: $269.99
Potential profit: $228.14
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$108.15

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $226.98
Potential payout: $240.82
Potential profit: $13.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.98

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $179.93
Potential payout: $226.76
Potential profit: $46.83
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $18.93

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $207.06
Potential payout: $226.29
Potential profit: $19.23
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2.94

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $101.02
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $103.06
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $98.47
Potential payout: $194.99
Potential profit: $96.52
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $123.12
Potential payout: $123.55
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $3.12

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $103.93
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $108.52
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $109.67
Potential profit: $102.98
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $102.48
Potential payout: $107.87
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $104.16
Potential payout: $105.64
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.16

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $99.74
Potential payout: $105.37
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $50.91
Potential payout: $58.96
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $50.83
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $50.48
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.94

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.15

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.89

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.88

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.45

Yes position

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

No position

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84.8% 58.96 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Under 99% 303.03 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Under 98.9% 1,213.35 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 64% 15.63 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Under 66% 30.3 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99% 606.06 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 98.9% 1,314.46 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99% 1,515.15 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 2.9% 63.45 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 7.9% 63.46 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Over 62% 21.73 shares
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares