Polymarket Trader

NOT

0x754141ad7825a6c5a1ebd6ca83701415bac76d98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.35K
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $48.38
Potential payout: $32.25K
Potential profit: $32.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $48.16
Potential payout: $32.11K
Potential profit: $32.06K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $650.51
Potential payout: $27.68K
Potential profit: $27.03K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$41.52

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $358.76
Potential payout: $19.39K
Potential profit: $19.03K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64K
Potential profit: $12.64K
User PnL: -$3.77K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.13K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.68K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $4.49K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$172.33

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$123.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.14

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.31

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on September 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.66

Yes position

Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.26

Yes position

Telegram banned by EU country before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.59

Yes position

Crimean bridge hit before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.22

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Pavel Durov released before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

$2000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.67

No position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.66

No position

Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$16.75

Yes position

10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.05

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.9

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.95

Yes position

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$821.24

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.56K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.84K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 17,681.38 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 10,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 2,105.5 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 2,250 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 20,000 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 20,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 10,000 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 9,392.22 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 10,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 10,000 shares