Y
Yes position
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $25.66
- Potential payout
- $122.17
- Potential profit
- $96.51
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.43
Polymarket Trader
0x754B6801E889a42d70CD42A6DB85BE1d21EBE2bc-1773028825711
0x754b6801e889a42d70cd42a6db85be1d21ebe2bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.66
- Realized PnL
- $3.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Under position
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Thunder position
Jazz vs. Thunder
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Arizona Wildcats position
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?Yes 37% 24.21 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 5.44 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.5% 5.27 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 7.69 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.7% 8.11 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 9.09 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.8% 9.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ETUp 98.7% 8.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7AM ETUp 99.8% 9.89 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 7.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.5% 10.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.6% 10.25 shares