Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Polymarket Trader
Merveille20
0x754f10408b6dbf063cfe6988c78279aba5f69b40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.65
- Realized PnL
- $22.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 10?No 99.6% 2.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 88.5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?Yes 99.9% 1.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?Yes 99.9% 2.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 66% 1.52 shares