Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $652.07
- Potential payout
- $42.07K
- Potential profit
- $41.42K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$436.21
Polymarket Trader
larpol
0x7551c95723894c890a54feece7f3511a40e6b6b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $654.94
- Realized PnL
- $8.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- User PnL
- -$412.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- User PnL
- -$98.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$176.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$502.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$281.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$399.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$499.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$50.38
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$930.04
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$656.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$120
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$246.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$336.78
Yes position
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$240.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$350
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $982.32
- Potential profit
- $982.32
- User PnL
- -$250.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.7
- Potential profit
- $914.7
- User PnL
- -$247.56
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $885.43
- Potential profit
- $885.43
- User PnL
- -$61.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wisconsin Badgers position
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $670.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.16
Illinois position
Tennessee vs. Illinois
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.96
TCU position
USC vs. TCU
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.67
Wisconsin Badgers position
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $367.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.43
Iowa position
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.82
Over position
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.03
Over position
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red StormConnecticut Huskies 23% 2,186.35 shares
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan WolverinesWisconsin Badgers 12.8% 1,073.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown 38.7% 255.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp 47.8% 237.49 shares
- Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?Yes 0.5% 875.85 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.5% 35,952.59 shares
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniWisconsin Badgers 99.9% 1,004.05 shares
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniWisconsin Badgers 23% 1,004.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.1% 11,030.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown 8.3% 2,426.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown 4.5% 4,718.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.2% 18,534.5 shares