Polymarket Trader

spidermarnn

@desmondhww

0x7554969a8bb013c442df437bb57264389329073d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.95K
Realized PnL: $2.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $19.93K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: -$7.43K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $19.93K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $5.08K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $7.43K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $13.18K
Potential payout: $15.02K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.67K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $15.02K
Potential profit: $13.18K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$5.67K

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $465
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $887.78
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $156.67
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $116.89

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $477.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $465
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $471.12
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$10.01

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $189.99
Potential payout: $379.97
Potential profit: $189.99
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $252.86
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $69.28
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $130.72
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $30.28

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $152.74
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $47.26
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $92.9
Potential payout: $101.7
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$6.56

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.13

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.6

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.5

No position

Will Solana dip to $90 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.42

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.6

No position

Will Solana reach $200 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 200 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 1,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 450 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 480 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 417 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 200 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 980 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?

No 97% 5 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 14?

No 99.6% 68.4 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

No 99.4% 1,000 shares