Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Polymarket Trader
0x755e...18e5
0x755e4f47a1bb9ff037d490d4319e7a341c4d18e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $57.23
- Realized PnL
- -$1.91
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $17.27
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.1%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $11.41
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$3.42
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 5.7% 20 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 14 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 11 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 24% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 9.4% 16 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.5% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 9.3% 13 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 76% 27 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No 91% 19 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 15 shares
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No 39% 13 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 17 shares