Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $637.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $322.16
Polymarket Trader
12863
0x756ea95a82ece773148921b266ad87008ac2a50a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.23K
- Realized PnL
- -$572.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.61
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$887.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 75.2% 3,865.67 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 66.7% 4,601.18 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 93% 1,413.55 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 86% 4,601.19 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 70.7% 1,413.56 shares