Polymarket Trader

anonymous557996954

0x75827930f67e57caa05d2c333110d097fa8a2497

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $200.38
Realized PnL: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.6K
Potential profit: $76.6K
User PnL: -$189.89

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.47
Potential profit: $550.47
User PnL: -$280.74

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.03
Potential profit: $239.03
User PnL: -$71.71

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $79.9
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $112.4
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $149.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $115.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$10.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $16.53
Potential payout: $91.09
Potential profit: $74.56
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $35.09
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $25.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $85.93
Potential profit: $82.8
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$46.86

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $26.67
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $56.67
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $16.67

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $58.98
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $13.47
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $51.46
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.67

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.44

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.48

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.67

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.57

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.34

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.42

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.2

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.35

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.27

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.13

Los Ratones position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.92

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.56

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 50.4% 115.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 50% 50 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 30% 239.03 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 51% 550.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 46% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 47% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 50% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Up 50% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Down 50% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 50% 1.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Down 50% 19.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 50% 19.38 shares