No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $120.46
- Potential profit
- $75.89
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Polymarket Trader
Shneedlewoods
0x7589a751644c5249811b1cb3f657fb2515368e58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.11
- Realized PnL
- -$0.7
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $8.31
- Potential payout
- $73.22
- Potential profit
- $64.91
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $36.14
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $22.69
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.93
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.74
- Potential profit
- $16.74
- User PnL
- -$10.14
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 70–79 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 32.6% 36.82 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 49% 22.45 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 1.5% 16.39 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 40% 46.9 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 56% 14.29 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 36% 13.89 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 18.86 shares
- Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Yes 67% 11.61 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 9% 2.17 shares