Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Polymarket Trader
mbdsae
0x758b4ba3180afb9c50ed875c1b0f03c8c5f8c483
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$6.4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will 'If' gross less than $30m opening weekend?
Ends May 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Biden go on the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Republicans position
Senate control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will 'If' gross less than $30m opening weekend?
Ends May 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Biden go on the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Republicans position
Senate control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Story Protocol airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Mitt Romney be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Democratic position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Tim Ryan be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 67% 1.71 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 76% 1.71 shares
- Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic 0.1% 0.81 shares
- Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans 99.8% 0.52 shares
- Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes 71% 0.47 shares
- Will there be another debate?No 97% 0.53 shares
- Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?No 97.5% 0.51 shares
- Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes 57% 0.47 shares
- Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans 75% 0.52 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 88% 0.53 shares
- Will there be another debate?No 76% 0.54 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No 92% 0.39 shares