Polymarket Trader

polypotato

0x75a5fcfcddae216e9e2ed6e0b705ab4cca03a5bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $280.75
Realized PnL: $12.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$326.59

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$386.7

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820.99
Potential profit: $820.99
User PnL: -$145.07

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.8
Potential profit: $777.8
User PnL: -$491.78

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $644.98
Potential profit: $644.98
User PnL: -$110.97

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $76.32
Potential payout: $610.59
Potential profit: $534.27
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $68.17
Potential payout: $413.17
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407
Potential profit: $407
User PnL: -$214.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $88.69
Potential payout: $157
Potential profit: $68.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $45.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $79.38
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $123.06
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.8
Potential profit: $114.8
User PnL: -$13.78

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Chiefs

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960.01

No position

Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.62

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.43

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.44

Chiefs position

Broncos vs. Chiefs

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.2

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.93

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.78

Yes position

Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.3

Bills position

Bills vs. Jets

Ends Oct 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.64

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 1-8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.72

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.73

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.5

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.49

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.99

No position

Israel military strike against Iran in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 10% 48.98 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 10% 159 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 25.94 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Yes 48% 157 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 29% 125 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 19% 22.42 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 9% 402.61 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 18% 203.54 shares
TikTok sale announced in 2025?

No 77.8% 777.79 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 94.2% 1,904.24 shares
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 3% 566.02 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 73% 203 shares