Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $22.66
- Potential payout
- $181.28
- Potential profit
- $158.62
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.34
Polymarket Trader
0x75a6d04E5874032920a158bD0cFa32a632DA365c-1768605393139
0x75a6d04e5874032920a158bd0cfa32a632da365c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.19
- Realized PnL
- $38.08
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $56.08
- Potential payout
- $143.79
- Potential profit
- $87.71
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$32.83
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $34.79
- Potential profit
- $31.29
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $24.45
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$12.44
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 55% 22.73 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 86% 12.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 28.58 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 68.3% 4.72 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 9.37 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 19.05 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 61% 25.02 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 61% 25 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 61% 54.25 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.6% 4.09 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.5% 12.06 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 13% 60.24 shares