Polymarket Trader

badatthis

0x75acf1aa88a3f5c613f2214486b91fa9fc1f33d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $352.88
Realized PnL: $34.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $62
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$47.87

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $81.9
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$23.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

JD Vance out as VP by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.74

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $30.98
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$14.75

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $168.17
Potential profit: $110.17
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $129.53
Potential profit: $125.13
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $12.48
Potential payout: $103.99
Potential profit: $91.51
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.1%
Current value: $49.1
Potential payout: $92.46
Potential profit: $43.36
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $57.92
Potential profit: $49.52
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $44.39
Potential profit: $40.62
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $37.98
Potential profit: $34.77
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $19.16
Potential payout: $27.36
Potential profit: $8.21
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $26.36
Potential profit: $24.78
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $8.68
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $19.01
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14K

Yes position

Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.33K

No position

Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.1-0.4 on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.7

No position

Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $911.4

Yes position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896

Yes position

Will Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $890.89

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $882.82

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.11

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $858.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $826.21

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.04

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $746.78

No position

Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $744.69

No position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $721.91

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $720.31

Gray position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $691.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Yes 6% 477 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 3,500 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 215.41 shares
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 1.4% 808.13 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 2.3% 222.73 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 84.1% 28.19 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

No 0.3% 156 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

No 0.1% 146 shares
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 1.4% 808.13 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 3.6% 12.34 shares
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Yes 8% 223 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?

Yes 5.3% 141.73 shares