Polymarket Trader

plu5EV

0x75c511a6ca29c25def6e959a98652f46ea01af5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.54K
Realized PnL: $2.66K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$1.31K

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $846.87
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $830.1
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$222.7

No position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $672.11
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $104.89
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$11.65

No position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $525
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $553.06
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $1.94
User PnL: $36.91

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $425.54
Potential payout: $427.03
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: $26.69

No position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $165.06
Potential payout: $195.34
Potential profit: $30.28
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $141.71
Potential payout: $145.27
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $21.14

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $86.9
Potential payout: $91.33
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $74.91
Potential payout: $78.44
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $27.85

No position

Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $50.56
Potential payout: $57.35
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.13

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $299.99

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.41

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.99

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.55

No position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.88

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.2

No position

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.8

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.64

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

No position

Ledger IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0

No position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$6.78

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$41.42

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Celonis IPO before 2027?

No 86% 11.4 shares
Ledger IPO before 2027?

No 77% 10.44 shares
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

No 90% 20 shares
Stripe IPO before 2027?

No 89% 21.55 shares
Deel IPO before 2027?

No 82% 7.2 shares
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 33.6% 1,686.53 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 10% 3,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 61.3% 1,300 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 11% 531.41 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

No 82% 666 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 60.7% 334.62 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 81% 334.73 shares