Polymarket Trader

lnal

0x75c7fcd24355900f9bcde97718f5c3ffc48b5393

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.4
Realized PnL: $34.52
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $4.72
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $4.16
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $3.22
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 88.9% 5.19 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?

Yes 99.9% 68 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 93.2% 4.72 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?

Yes 94.9% 5.27 shares
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 97.9% 1.44 shares
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 90% 4.59 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?

No 93% 4.28 shares
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?

No 96.8% 1.51 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 4.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 97.9% 5.1 shares
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 98.1% 3.47 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?

Yes 93% 5.88 shares