Polymarket Trader

0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256

0x75cbe506ceec7bb80331954e9a47212ea62f1556

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.74
Realized PnL: $722.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.11

Under position

Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.93

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.19

Yes position

Will ProMint win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.91

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.63

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

Yes position

Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.29

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

Yes position

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.41

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 4.0–5.5 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Bury Our Bones in the Midnight Soil (V.E. Schwab) win Readers’ Favorite Fantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz finish third at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $2.40 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will PewDiePie’s next video get 1.5 million or more views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?

Yes 1.7% 59.44 shares
Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 10.4 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Yes 57.2% 50 shares
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Yes 2.6% 128.1 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic

Valentin Royer 1.8% 115.55 shares
Will Legacy win IEM Atlanta 2026?

Yes 1.3% 16.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 299.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 300 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 8% 150 shares
Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?

Yes 2% 5 shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4.8% 14 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.32 in April?

Yes 1.2% 5 shares