Polymarket Trader

0x75cd...1504

0x75cdb971d720ed50b248415def4c7ab5f3641504

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $46.3
Realized PnL: $3.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86
Potential profit: $9.86
User PnL: -$5.62

Yes position

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.65
Potential profit: $5.65
User PnL: -$5.64

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 85.7%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $4.95
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$4.73

DFX Peek position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $4.52
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Ismaily SC win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 99.5% 4.52 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 98.5% 4.55 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 97.9% 4.66 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 4.57 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

No 97.8% 4.7 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 97% 4.73 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4.58 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?

No 99.9% 4.63 shares
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C

DFX Peek 99% 4.69 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 4.63 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 99.3% 4.65 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 98.4% 4.7 shares