Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.14K
- Potential profit
- $32.14K
- User PnL
- -$14.59K
Polymarket Trader
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710
0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.63K
- Realized PnL
- $188.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $13.35K
- Potential payout
- $17.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $4.84K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.42K
- Potential profit
- $16.42K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.53K
- Potential payout
- $14.91K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.59K
- Potential payout
- $13.59K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.73K
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.16K
- Potential profit
- $10.16K
- User PnL
- -$8.03K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $901.8
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $937.69
- Potential payout
- $6.95K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $32.7
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $609.04
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$227.85
Yes position
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- User PnL
- -$800.02
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$594.12
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $212.96
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $859.59
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $618.22
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $53.95
- Potential payout
- $3.72K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.66K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.59K
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $826.05
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$472.55
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $384.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $819.83
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $323.05
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $193.94
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $282.66
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $327.14
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $197.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $469.12
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$217.05
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $290.18
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $557.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.45K
Toronto Blue Jays position
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
Cleveland Guardians position
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.76K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
No position
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14K
Milwaukee Brewers position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
Atlanta Braves position
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.77K
Zsombor Piros position
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Piros
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $2.77K
New York Yankees position
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Clippers position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Pistons position
Raptors vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Caty McNally position
Austin: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?No 40% 67 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No 72.5% 10.2 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?Yes 32% 138 shares
- Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?Yes 56% 30 shares
- Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?Yes 47% 21 shares
- Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?No 79.8% 602 shares
- Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No 38% 12 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 28.6 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by March 15?Yes 26% 5 shares
- North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes 43.6% 7 shares
- North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes 43% 7 shares
- Set 1 Winner: Nava vs MmohNava 48% 62.87 shares