Polymarket Trader

Vilmarprocopio

0x75e5a1adec477458cb86ecb1ec827e3857d60059

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.19K
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $709.7
Potential payout: $999.58
Potential profit: $289.88
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $180.66

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $634.54
Potential payout: $669
Potential profit: $34.45
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $84.62
Potential payout: $347.52
Potential profit: $262.9
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: -$13.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $264
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $40.38
Potential payout: $289.49
Potential profit: $249.1
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $130.8
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $109.2
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $216.95
Potential payout: $228.37
Potential profit: $11.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $68.2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $182.02
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $80.41
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $55.94
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $48.08
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $47.86
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $19.42
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $92.15

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $70.88

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.82

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.07

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.82

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.27

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.44

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.17

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.88

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.39

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.88

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

No position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.6% 179.92 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84.8% 300 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93% 56.75 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 174.55 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.4% 55.56 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.4% 289.08 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 42% 240 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.4% 290.61 shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 56% 9 shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 55% 196 shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 54.7% 273 shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 53% 70 shares