Polymarket Trader

slifsh

0x75f3f61e4d0686f18d4e2f3a38785642a6d5a0d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.58K
Realized PnL: $15.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.55K
Potential profit: $531.55K
User PnL: -$1.7K

No position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $17.01K
User PnL: -$8.24K

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $4.92K
Potential payout: $9.29K
Potential profit: $4.36K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$10.37

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $330
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$450

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$998.18

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $982.48
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $72.5

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $347.23
Potential payout: $354.86
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.64

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.82

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $692.08

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.44

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.7

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.33

No position

Netanyahu out by 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.26

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.99

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.82

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.86

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.4

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.98

No position

US strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.01

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.58

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 39% 721.53 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 52% 5,769.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 84% 1,785.71 shares
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 85.9% 2,909.33 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

No 0.1% 500,000 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

No 3.8% 5,500 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

No 4.4% 8,411.78 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

No 3.1% 5,928.76 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Yes 52.3% 2,825.94 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Yes 70.8% 2,825.95 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Israel 71.4% 409.89 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 90.7% 1,100 shares