Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0x760016ccE4460C710D9b2Ad830bd350723a17347-1767780103683
0x760016cce4460c710d9b2ad830bd350723a17347
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.38
- Realized PnL
- $842.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $48.38
- Potential payout
- $58.64
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.54
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.78
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 37% 27.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 76.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 55.55 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 13.45 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.1% 186.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63.1% 55.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.6% 31.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 31.91 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 31% 130 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 225 shares