Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $28.96
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
dan82audwin
0x7611569f91ba60cd1315e1a53c9ec0f1787b83e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04
- Realized PnL
- $3.38
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will AppLovin buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 31% 74 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 41 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 41 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 77.5% 4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 80.8% 39 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58% 49 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 29 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 91% 31 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 98.2% 32 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 98.3% 32 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No 98.5% 18 shares
- Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 97.7% 12 shares