Polymarket Trader

0x76234fAA399ad8a753f8d33F5E28703eeEB46CB6-1773228391753

0x76234faa399ad8a753f8d33f5e28703eeeb46cb6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $918.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $814.61
Potential payout: $832.93
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.61

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $180.77
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $588.46
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$19.23

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$14.11

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $358
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $95.74
Potential payout: $324.54
Potential profit: $228.8
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$12.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $34.68
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $126.61
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$15.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $54.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $65.4
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $100.97
Potential payout: $102.15
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $60.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $75.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $90.16
Potential payout: $90.84
Potential profit: $0.68
User PnL: $13.29

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$16.2

No position

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $77.38
Potential payout: $79.04
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.66

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $61.71
Potential payout: $71.34
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.02
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$16.52

No position

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $44.37
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.67

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $11.86
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.18

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.41

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.42

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.06

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.36

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.18

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.76

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $14.75

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.62

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

No position

Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $9.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 100 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 769.23 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 34% 59.99 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84.6% 590.84 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 96% 832.93 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

No 3.5% 400 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 16% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 4.8% 208.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 44% 120 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48.8% 314.79 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 28% 100 shares