Polymarket Trader

Test22

0x762a780fbb90ed8dc8d22182e279ad695d4e0322

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.1
Realized PnL: $458.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.5
Potential profit: $606.5
User PnL: -$48.16

No position

Claude 4.7 released by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $603.72
Potential profit: $603.72
User PnL: -$57

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.25
Potential profit: $590.25
User PnL: -$396.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$2

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.16
Potential profit: $142.16
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $109.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.95
Potential profit: $109.95
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.65
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.05
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.55
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.65
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.69
Potential profit: $86.69
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.05
Potential profit: $61.05
User PnL: -$50.31

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.21
Potential profit: $56.21
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $50.05
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $18.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Yes 29% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Yes 32% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 18% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 5.2% 9.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 34% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 51% 2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 40% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 23% 10 shares