Polymarket Trader

Poak

0x762fb170646560f4442ead60eeb6e82d159f1533

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.61
Realized PnL: $175.44
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $22.08
Potential profit: $21.8
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.39
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 65% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Down 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 74% 27.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 39% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 39% 12.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 38% 13.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 66% 126.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 39.5% 253.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Up 95% 114.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Up 87% 114.94 shares