Polymarket Trader

0x7631cd77c5E8342B041Eb6Da19Fb9ce2F8740EBf-1775486235753

0x7631cd77c5e8342b041eb6da19fb9ce2f8740ebf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.54
Realized PnL: $34.41
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $108.94
Potential profit: $72.45
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $27.12
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.66
Potential profit: $28.66
User PnL: -$8.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.11
Potential profit: $14.11
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Normandy" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 3.35 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Yes 77.1% 38.92 shares
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Yes 0.1% 3.12 shares
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?

Yes 3% 18.18 shares
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Yes 96% 4.16 shares
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?

No 60% 3.33 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 151.51 shares
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares