Polymarket Trader

Alex2148

0x76386a0479e1f30383d438d973dfd9be93c7b60c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.91
Realized PnL: $124.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977.83
Potential profit: $977.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $727.5
Potential profit: $724.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $685.33
Potential profit: $684.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $502.22
Potential profit: $497.2
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $321.82
Potential profit: $320.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.39
Potential profit: $103.39
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $91.26
Potential profit: $87.51
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $80.51
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Dallas Wings position

Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Under position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Detroit Pistons position

NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Second half draw?

Yes 37% 3.14 shares
CR Vasco da Gama to win the second half?

Yes 31% 3.39 shares
EC Vitória to win the second half?

Yes 34% 2.97 shares
Fluminense FC to win the second half?

Yes 41% 16.63 shares
Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Second half draw?

Yes 32% 16.5 shares
EC Vitória to win the second half?

Yes 34% 13.85 shares
Grêmio FBPA to win the second half?

Yes 24% 12.08 shares
Mirassol FC to win the second half?

Yes 41% 16.63 shares
CR Vasco da Gama to win the second half?

Yes 31% 15.74 shares
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Second half draw?

Yes 37.3% 14.49 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

No 32% 7.31 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?

No 76.5% 2.71 shares