Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.87K
- Potential profit
- $25.87K
- User PnL
- -$15K
Polymarket Trader
JT716
@JeffreyTian10
0x7650e94d9c2decc455d7e2b9f8af0c0aa319fac1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.54K
- Realized PnL
- $5.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74K
- Potential profit
- $21.74K
- User PnL
- -$20K
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95K
- Potential profit
- $16.95K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63K
- Potential profit
- $15.63K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93K
- Potential profit
- $14.93K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.32K
- Potential profit
- $13.32K
- User PnL
- -$5.06K
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.1K
- Potential profit
- $12.1K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$139
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $43.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $177.89
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$11.68
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $18.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $83.86
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $92.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $48.55
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$11.04
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $555
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $646
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $204
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $93.5
Zhang Mingyang position
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $710
- Potential profit
- $710
- User PnL
- -$497
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $474
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$116.12
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $452.44
- Potential payout
- $517.07
- Potential profit
- $64.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $143.37
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$285
Yes position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.25
- Potential profit
- $488.25
- User PnL
- -$176.37
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $462.72
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $17.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.12
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $358.15
- Potential payout
- $431.51
- Potential profit
- $73.36
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $161.3
- Potential payout
- $403.25
- Potential profit
- $241.95
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.01
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.13
Yes position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.51
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.5
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $167.71
Yes position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $158.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.01
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.69
No position
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.9
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
Sumudaerji position
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $81.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $660?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 7% 10,000 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 25% 10,000 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 15,873 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 64% 15,625 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 70 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean OMalley 79% 100 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 38% 26,316 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 58% 25,865 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 16,950 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No 47% 1,065 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No 47% 2,130 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 99.5% 2,245.28 shares