Polymarket Trader

gsco

0x765256664f3b2caa01b1c71f9b188a12ad3a1aa8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.37
Realized PnL: $552.15
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $25.06
Potential payout: $414.29
Potential profit: $389.22
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $27.24
Potential payout: $363.16
Potential profit: $335.92
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$41.76

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $214.67
Potential profit: $194.6
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $15.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.54
Potential profit: $192.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.59
Potential profit: $69.59
User PnL: -$9.74

Yes position

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.14

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.61

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.19

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.65

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.88

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Over position

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $7.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 2.5% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 14% 214.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 5.4% 92.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 5% 100 shares
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Yes 34% 29.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 0.1% 133.96 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 6% 142.86 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 7% 142.86 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 6.2% 533.33 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 7% 200 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

No 6% 333.33 shares