Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $28.28K
- Potential profit
- $25.6K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$424.23
Polymarket Trader
ami923
0x765df9425ca5cde967267947d526a9ced255dca3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.76K
- Realized PnL
- $957.19
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $76.7
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.37K
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$46.5
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$16.94
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$14.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $195.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.62
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $24.52
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 70% 2,361.64 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 724.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 51% 2,738.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 56.9% 203.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 68% 2,985.07 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 52% 53 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 58% 300 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 76% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 67% 1,381.21 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 60% 20 shares