Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
hector517
0x765ebc3ebf2ce4f5125b9649be87300556b2fce2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.85
- Realized PnL
- $53.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $9.17
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Mississippi State Bulldogs position
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?Yes 40% 2.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 10?Yes 0.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?Yes 14% 9.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 93.5% 2.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 1.1% 12.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 2% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 11% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 43.1% 2.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 53% 1.96 shares