No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $711.37
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $12.06
Polymarket Trader
0x7676533bC4c67B30077776A70E8921b27e073E69-1768063095213
0x7676533bc4c67b30077776a70e8921b27e073e69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $1.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.75
- Potential profit
- $335.75
- User PnL
- -$74
Yes position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.67
- Potential profit
- $211.67
- User PnL
- -$144
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.28
- Potential profit
- $117.28
- User PnL
- -$67.88
Yes position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.5
- Potential profit
- $64.5
- User PnL
- -$23.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.71
- Potential profit
- $56.71
- User PnL
- -$24.95
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.44
- Potential profit
- $41.44
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.78
- Potential profit
- $34.78
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $11.23
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.03
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.22
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.9
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.52
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.15
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.94
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.13
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.52
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.42
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.77
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 70% 268.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 70% 2,142.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.5% 306.12 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 1,686.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 52.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 1,536.59 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No 14.3% 427 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes 60.2% 1,262.79 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No 93% 760.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 44% 54.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 57.9% 113.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 37% 61.44 shares