Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.42K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Polymarket Trader
Frezhboiimatt
0x767a2453956a72c2d9eaa92993f093e7a7a36e8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.19K
- Realized PnL
- $3.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $161.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $487.72
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $908.65
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $52.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $158.65
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $745.54
- Potential payout
- $842.42
- Potential profit
- $96.88
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $100.21
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $524.52
- Potential payout
- $635.78
- Potential profit
- $111.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $92.74
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $396.05
- Potential payout
- $437.62
- Potential profit
- $41.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $96.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.51
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.61
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.83
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.61
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.07
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.11
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.46
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.32
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.62
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $49.12
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.48
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.79
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $34.84
No position
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.63
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 1,250 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 52% 960.76 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.6% 334.88 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 68.6% 437.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 426.83 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 35.1% 2,559.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 26.6% 1,458.68 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 33.4% 16.35 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 50.8% 491.36 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 75% 600 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No 84% 714.29 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 78.8% 507.71 shares