Polymarket Trader

Kei79

@Kei789777969629

0x767e13b9f0e16b319e8535c29a6a31d74119e133

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $420.06
Realized PnL: -$61.84
Win rate: 17.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $16.02
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$48.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $503.01
Potential profit: $500.24
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$22.23

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $35.78
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $408.67
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$84.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $389.1
Potential profit: $384.62
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$60.52

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $87.98
Potential payout: $386.74
Potential profit: $298.76
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$12.02

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.71
Potential profit: $364.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during EPA announcement?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $215.37
Potential payout: $285.26
Potential profit: $69.89
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $64.78

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $36.88
Potential payout: $241.85
Potential profit: $204.97
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.71
Potential profit: $211.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.6
Potential profit: $100.6
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $63.46
Potential profit: $42.68
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.91
Potential profit: $55.91
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during EPA announcement?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.5
Potential profit: $54.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.03
Potential profit: $18.03
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$12.12

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 63.46 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 12.05 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 61% 18.03 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 17.81 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 6.7% 117.64 shares
US x China Military clash before 2027?

Yes 5% 231.86 shares