Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.1
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Polymarket Trader
0x767e...2a16
0x767e7f9b8440c3da5876d08eac5cfe7c22742a16
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $29.95
- Realized PnL
- $5.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.45
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Even position
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Trump say "Longest Government Shutdown" this week? (November 17 – 23)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will CD Yuncos vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5?No 99.9% 4.77 shares
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?No 99.7% 4.79 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4.79 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?No 99.9% 4.79 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 99.4% 4.82 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $67 on July 1?Yes 99.9% 4.78 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No 99.9% 4.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on June 30?Yes 99% 4.83 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 4.77 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 29?No 99.9% 4.77 shares
- Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes 99.5% 4.79 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 99.9% 4.78 shares