Polymarket Trader

tvx

0x76873b801ede80e4a6c1c0e3d0ff06f2922d654b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.74
Realized PnL: $7.41
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.76
Potential profit: $213.76
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $14.09
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.91
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.74
Potential profit: $59.74
User PnL: -$2

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$6.55

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.95
Potential profit: $3.95
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Kovacevic position

Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

No 76% 3.95 shares
Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 0.3% 329.56 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 2.1% 95.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Down 81% 1.23 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 76% 13.16 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 4.4% 45.45 shares
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares