No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $273.87
- Potential payout
- $321.25
- Potential profit
- $47.38
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$16.54
Polymarket Trader
bakingcakes
0x768fc4f589d8dc5a319910cdc59c1faef3758d79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $403.21
- Realized PnL
- $330.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $89.4
- Potential payout
- $91.18
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $39.94
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.1
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.72
No position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.47
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.62
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 99-100°F on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 24?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 101°F or higher on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 96.9% 40 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.7% 156.53 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.3% 155.76 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.6% 155.26 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 321.25 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.8% 91.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.8% 669.86 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 668.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No 99.6% 152.94 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 99.4% 164.43 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 99.4% 328.86 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No 99.9% 287.3 shares