Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $370.05
- Potential payout
- $27.41K
- Potential profit
- $27.04K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$386.17
Polymarket Trader
DudeDamage
0x769120d34f68a3e51cfa5842ce8af8eecfba2494
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $421.94
- Realized PnL
- $107.49
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $509.05
- Potential profit
- $492
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$33.95
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $101.8
- Potential profit
- $97.06
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$12.01
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $26.65
- Potential payout
- $77.26
- Potential profit
- $50.61
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $61.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.61
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.1% 94.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.2% 2,372.73 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 78% 1.28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 84.8% 1.18 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes 16.6% 6.02 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?No 95.9% 1.04 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes 6.9% 14.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 78% 1.28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.2% 454.55 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 45.45 shares