Nice position
Spread: Nice (-2.5)
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40.12
Polymarket Trader
Churchh
0x769c22cdb686bf0b3580967afe549ac1243b747d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $91.84
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
IR Tanger position
Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5)
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.92
Yes position
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $26.1
Petrojet SC position
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Beşiktaş JK position
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Multiplier
- 11.63x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Yes 12% 425 shares
- Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Yes 12% 445 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.6% 5.01 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.6% 448 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.6% 424.99 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 420 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 410 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 5.9% 410 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 5.9% 435 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.7% 380 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.7% 385 shares
- Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?Yes 6% 380 shares