Polymarket Trader

MR.KX

0x769c5a139149b334c14e3687c67274d801653d88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.3K
Realized PnL: $508.25
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $747.77
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $433.78

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $874.39
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $313.1

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $212.36
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $876.65
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$36.16

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $24.23
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $112.68
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $916.32
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: $25.21

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $68.43
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $960.57
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $115.14
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $912.86
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $525.87
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $475.78
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $325.54

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Current value: $166.9
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $522.76
Multiplier: 4.13x
User PnL: -$33.1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $86.3
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $519.76
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $83.43
Potential payout: $556.19
Potential profit: $472.76
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $514
Potential profit: $486.5
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$37.87

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $193.03
Potential payout: $398
Potential profit: $204.97
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $33.92
Potential payout: $323.08
Potential profit: $289.15
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$8.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $227.3

Yes position

Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.45

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$26.93

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.35

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.83

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$149.98

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$151

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$161.85

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$354.99

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.04K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 63% 405 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 48% 4.02 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 323.08 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 15% 35 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 15% 35 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Yes 12.8% 433.55 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 14.1% 39.03 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 12.7% 78.56 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 13% 128.58 shares