Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.51
Polymarket Trader
Maktouch-105
0x76ae02db75a767aa2addedef4479fb50c7b72c6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $498.67
- Realized PnL
- $3.18K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $91.35
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $870.19
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$408.65
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $123.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $543.33
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$76.67
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $24.22
- Potential payout
- $254.94
- Potential profit
- $230.72
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.67
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $108.82
- Potential payout
- $250.16
- Potential profit
- $141.34
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.93
- Potential profit
- $191.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $143.72
- Potential payout
- $187.87
- Potential profit
- $44.15
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $40.39
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $182.9
- Potential profit
- $180.15
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$97.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.07
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.97
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.65
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.89
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.75
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $53.33
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.12
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.65
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.69
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.72
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 4.5% 2,243.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77.9% 385.11 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 55% 187.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 166.66 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 66% 434.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 3.4% 134.98 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 46% 613.12 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.5% 717.42 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.1% 3,317.77 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?No 90% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 40% 500 shares