Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.15
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x76B0ED7eD4531bB624291171139Ae445481f417D-1773576043225
0x76b0ed7ed4531bb624291171139ae445481f417d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.34
- Realized PnL
- $219.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28.25
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $45.17
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $23.64
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $21.27
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.43
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.55
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $17.45
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$7.44
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.26
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes 4.8% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 47% 30 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 13% 25.98 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 8.3% 50 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 12% 23.33 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?Yes 44% 50 shares
- Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 3.9% 150 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes 4.9% 129.79 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 42.77 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.3% 40 shares