Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$324.85
Polymarket Trader
PermanentUnderclassEscapee
0x76c94d974b850eb11e3d5220f3fe77c785a6ab2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.25K
- Realized PnL
- $6.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $182
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $253.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $33.28
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $175.34
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $966
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $991.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- $33.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $962.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$950
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $999.96
- User PnL
- -$141
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $596.82
- Potential payout
- $698.03
- Potential profit
- $101.21
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $17.45
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$225
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.53
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.51
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.31
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
No position
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.7
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
2024 September hottest on record?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 4,000 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 179.91 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 373.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97.2% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 83% 698.03 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 94% 517.11 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 94% 2,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 91% 1,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 98.5% 1,281.71 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No 96% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No 99.5% 1,000 shares