Polymarket Trader

0x76cB13683A3FD277b131320F9cf91F4C3Aa645e7-1764741086118

0x76cb13683a3fd277b131320f9cf91f4c3aa645e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.26
Realized PnL: $50.66
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.22
Potential profit: $61.22
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.52
Potential profit: $28.52
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $20.8
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $22.47
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.37
Potential profit: $21.37
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.42
Potential profit: $19.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.24
Potential profit: $19.24
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.47

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 22.73 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 17% 47.61 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Yes 62% 21.73 shares
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Yes 7.6% 41.66 shares
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Yes 18.7% 21.37 shares
US strike on Syria by December 31?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares