Polymarket Trader

gambler925

0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.51K
Realized PnL: $412
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $449.09
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $184.41

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $450.02
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$87.32

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: $50.23

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$716.77

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $242.16

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $356.44
Potential payout: $734.92
Potential profit: $378.48
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$14.68

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $378.48
Potential payout: $734.92
Potential profit: $356.44
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $143.38
Potential payout: $283.92
Potential profit: $140.54
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$29.51

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $118.29
Potential payout: $254.39
Potential profit: $136.1
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $25.26

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $98.7
Potential payout: $156.67
Potential profit: $57.97
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $59.53
Potential payout: $156.67
Potential profit: $97.14
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.91
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $4.45
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $347.52

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.89

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.09

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 60.2%
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.3%
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$150.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 80% 20 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 17% 20 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 99.9% 10,000 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 11.57 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 11.57 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 14.1 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 10 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 10 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 50% 5.23 shares